REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Aberdeen Group PLC (ABDN.L): 1H26 – P&L Beat But Flows Disappoint
Research evidence excerpt
Aberdeen Group PLC (ABDN.L): 1H26 – P&L Beat But Flows Disappoint
Aberdeen Group PLC (ABDN.L)
29 July 2026 Citi Research
1H26 Earnings: 13% Adj. PBT Beat Driven By Investments — £201m adjusted PBT
is +8% above £186m Company-collected consensus (in-line with Citi). The beat is
driven primarily by both lower costs and stronger net financing costs and investment
return (£50m vs £41m). By contrast, adjusted operating profit (AOP) is 4% better,
thanks to 2% lighter OpEx (£492m vs £500m) vs in-line revenues of £643m (weaker
Investments vs better ii). The 1H26 adjusted cost-income ratio of 76.5% is better
than consensus 77.5%. Operating segments broadly in-line, with small beat in ii vs
small miss in Investments (Adviser in-line). For ii specifically, customer numbers
continue to grow strongly and grew by 2.3% QoQ to 525k (+1% vs consensus), 2Q26
trading volumes were strong at 36k average daily trades (+3% vs consensus 35k),
treasury income was 12% beat, given cash margin 234bps vs c221bps expected.
AUMA: Wealth-Driven Beat — Group: AUMA £579nn is +1% vs consensus £576bn,
primarily due to better markets/FX while flows are weaker (-£0.1bn vs expected net
inflows +£3.7bn). Wealth: AUA is 3% above consensus, with ii and Adviser each 3%
better; ii was supported by slightly better net flows (£3.8bn vs £3.7bn) while Adviser
net outflows weaker (-£0.7bn vs -£0.4bn). Investments: AUM £398bn is in-line,
with weaker 2Q26 net outflows (-£3.0bn vs +£0.5bn), albeit low P/E mix (high
margin I&RW is 3% light vs Insurance 3% better).
Surplus Capital Grows; AT1 To Be Called — 1H26 adjusted capital generation of
£182m is better-than consensus £167m and Citi £179m, driven by higher adjusted
profits. IFPR surplus CET1 capital has grown to £886m vs £843m at end-FY25 (in-
line with Citi).
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