REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
First Read Nestlé Feedback from management sell-side meeting
Research evidence excerpt
First Read Nestlé Feedback from management sell-side meeting
Global Research
27 July 2026ab
First Read
EquitiesNestlé
Feedback from management sell-side meeting Switzerland
Food Products
12-month rating Neutral
Positive tone as management highlighted the steady progress made by the
company and confidence in, step by step, reaching group’s objective of 2%+ RIG 12m price target CHF80.00
and 4%+ OG. Key takeaways: 1) Management encouraged by underlying
performance in Q2; factors that were called out (retailer dispute in Europe, retailer
Price (24 Jul 2026) CHF80.67destocking in US petcare, short term volume impact from HSD price increase of
Starbucks in the US) each shaving off 10-20bps of group’s RIG – suggests underlying RIG RIC: NESN.S BBG: NESN SW
of 2.0-2.3% ex Waters in Q2; 2) Sees Q2 discrepancy between sell-in and sell-out in US
Trading data and key metrics
petcare as more temporary than structural; 3) Pleased with strong Q2 RIG performance
in emerging markets but would anticipate some normalization going forward; 4) 52-wk range CHF86.17-71.00
Anticipates flattish RIG development in China in H2 (reflecting declining cat growth and Market cap. CHF208b/US$254b
lacklustre market share development); 5) Productivity savings in H1 slightly ahead of Shares o/s 2,573m (REG)
plan (accelerated delivery motivated by conflict in the middle East); 6) Clear commitment Free float 97%
to group’s dividend policy (as in annual increase in CHF). Avg. daily volume ('000) 3,633
Avg. daily value (m) CHF292.8
CEO thoughts 10mo in: Making progress on the strategy, confident NESN will get to Common s/h equity (12/26E) CHF35.0b
2+% RIG and 4+% OG and stay there: improving marketing capabilities, adjusting the P/BV (12/26E) 5.9x
portfolio, improving cashflows and extracting savings.
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