REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Southern Copper Corporation: 2Q in line; Tia Maria & El Pilar progressing
Research evidence excerpt
Southern Copper Corporation: 2Q in line; Tia Maria & El Pilar progressing
Global Research
22 July 2026ab
Southern Copper Corporation Equities
Peru2Q in line; Tia Maria & El Pilar progressing
Mining
12-month rating Sell
Another solid quarter; projects appear to be progressing (incl El Pilar)
SCC delivers another solid quarter operationally and financially with 2Q26 copper 12m price target US$160.00
production (~231kt) and EBITDA (~US$2.9b) in line with consensus (Figure 1SCoverviewof2Q26financials,US$mC:overviewof4Q25financials,US$m); lower Cu
production in Peru (-12% q/q) due to grade is largely offset by higher production in
Price (21 Jul 2026) US$188.01
Mexico (+3% q/q); gross unit costs are down slightly q/q (due to one-offs in 1Q) despite
softer volumes q/q and net unit costs remain low due to elevated by-product prices (Ag, RIC: SCCO.N BBG: SCCO US
Mo, Zn). SCCO reassures Tia Maria is still on track for first production in 2H27 (now 42%
Trading data and key metrics
complete, up from 33% in 1Q26); SCCO now expects to start site prep work at El Pilar
52-wk range US$218.85-90.54
(36kt Cu) in Sept-26, We have a Sell rating on the stock due to valuation (~15x 2027E
EV/EBITDA) and as we expect copper prices to consolidate near term though recognise Market cap. US$154b
some of the stock-specific challenges appear to have subsided (Peru election risk, Tia Shares o/s 822m (COM)
Maria construction, new CEO/ governance); we remain positive on the medium-term Free float 11%
fundamental outlook for copper based on supply constraints vs resilient demand (note). Avg. daily volume ('000) 381
We expect no material change to our forecasts from 2Q results. The conference call is at Avg. daily value (m) US$68.7
11am EST on 22 July (link). Common s/h equity (12/26E) US$14.2b
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