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REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH

Watching, waiting. Upside to 2027 consensus, but the DI story is not clear cut. Stay EW.

Published: 2026-07-20Institution: Morgan StanleyCompany / ticker: SIEGn.DEPages: 19Original language: EnglishEvidence page: 1

Research evidence excerpt

Watching, waiting. Upside to 2027 consensus, but the DI story is not clear cut. Stay EW.

Idea

July 20, 2026 04:00 AM GMT

Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc+MSiemens | Europe Max R Yates

Equity Analyst

Watching, waiting. Upside to Max.Yates@morganstanley.comSara Chemello +44 20 7425-1917

Research Associate

Sara.Chemello@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-2931

2027 consensus, but the DI Harry Stephenson

Harry.Stephenson@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-0859

story is not clear cut. Stay EW. Sam Crean

What’s Changed Sam.Crean@morganstanley.com +44 20 7677-1983

Siemens (SIEGn.DE) From To Siemens (SIEGn.DE, SIE GY)

Price Target €270.00 €276.00

Capital Goods | Germany

Stock Rating Equal-weight

Siemens' continues on a path of portfolio simplification, but Industry View In-Line

there are factors out of their control such as software disruption PriceShr price,targetclose (Jul 17, 2026) €276.00€264.55

debates which adds complexity to the equity story. Bottom line, 52-Week Range €284.65-198.00 Mkt cap, curr (mn) €205,044

EPS momentum is positive, but we stay EW, as much of the Net debt (09/26e) (mn)* €41,469

valuation gap has closed versus global peers. * = GAAP or approximated based on GAAP

Fiscal Year Ending 09/25 09/26e 09/27e 09/28e

Key Takeaways Sales(€mn)**/ Revenue 78,914 84,026 92,518 99,719

EBITDA (€mn)** 12,984 14,596 17,503 19,760

We stay EW on Siemens. We raise EPS estimates, our 2027 EBIT is +4.4% vs EPS (€)** 10.43 11.46 14.12 16.27

consensus, and our new target price is €276 (from €270). Prior EPS (€)** - - 13.74 15.79

ModelWare EPS (€) 9.63 10.56 13.21 15.36

Key positives: SI orders are underpinning a revenue growth acceleration into P/E** 22.0 23.1 18.7 16.3

DPS (€) 5.35 5.72 6.13 6.55

2027, and we also see upside to Digital Industries margin for 2027.

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