REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Business Services Software
Research evidence excerpt
Business Services Software
Valuation Method and Risk Statement
Investing in the technology sector entails above-average risk given low sales visibility, rapid
pace of innovation and technological change, intense competition, frequent M&A, and low
barriers to entry in many markets.
Everforth Inc:
Our price target is based on 1-year multiple on our FY27 estimates, rolled forward by Cost of
Equity to derive our 12-month price target. Risks to our Sell rating and price target include:
sustainability of low unemployment claims, or broad-based multiple expansion within
staffers. Risks include macro environment, staffing availability and cost, limited visibility of
demand, competitive end markets, ability to source and/or integrate acquisitions,
government-related revenue, and conglomerate impact.
Paycom Software Inc:
Paycom, price target based on 2027E EV/Sales vs. three-year range/average of 4.0x-
26.7x/14.9x. Risks to our Buy rating include pace of macro, competition [incumbent SaaS],
growth initiative traction, and potential float income contraction. Growth would be curtailed
by a slowdown in employment given Paycom’s employee-based PEPM pricing model and the
general HCM market’s exposure to macroeconomic conditions. Additionally, larger HCM
providers could become more competitive down market and constrain Paycom’s growth.
Robert Half Inc.:
Price target is based on a multiple of 2026 EPS. Multiple is fair, in our view, as macro
uncertainty potentially fuels even further downward consensus estimate revisions coupled
with risks of staffing disintermediation at low end. Risks: Protiviti strength/public sector
tailwind, improving macro environment. Our 1-year multiple is based on our FY26 estimates,
rolled forward by Cost of Equity to derive our 12-month price target.
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