REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
US Economic Perspectives: Beige Book — slow and steady
Research evidence excerpt
US Economic Perspectives: Beige Book — slow and steady
sts rather than fully passing them along. "Producers
reported rising input costs, but many held selling prices steady and absorbed the
additional cost increases," the Richmond summary noted. We have noted that since the
beginning of the conflict, prices paid indexes in regional Federal Reserve manufacturing
surveys rose faster than prices received indexes.
Employment firms modestly, AI adoption more visible
Labor market conditions improved on balance relative to the prior Beige Book.
Employment increased in five districts and was little changed in seven. Hiring gains were
observed across manufacturing, construction, retail, health care, and transportation,
while only isolated reports of employment declines were noted across districts. Wage
growth remained modest to moderate across most districts, with competition for skilled
labor contributing to upward wage pressure in specialized occupations.
A recurring theme across several districts was continued difficulty finding skilled
workers, including electricians, technicians, machinists, engineers, welders, and other
tradespeople. Philadelphia contacts noted that shortages of electricians were delaying
data center projects, while Kansas City manufacturers continued to report competition
for skilled machine operators and welders. Richmond and Dallas contacts similarly cited
shortages of technical and specialized labor.
The Beige Book also contained a number of references to artificial intelligence. Several
districts' summaries noted that firms were increasingly deploying AI to improve
productivity, assist hiring processes, or evaluate workforce needs. Interestingly, the
Kansas City summary noted, "Jobseekers reported increased difficulty getting past AI
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