REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
4Q26 Update - There‘s a Clue
Research evidence excerpt
4Q26 Update - There‘s a Clue
Australia | Diversified Financials
Netwealth EquityJulyResearch16, 2026
COMPANY UPDATE4Q26 Update - There's a Clue
NWL 4Q26 was encouraging, FUA +19% vs pcp and MA FUM +30%. Net RATING BUY
Inflows of $3.2bn were impacted by a small number of partial withdrawals PRICE AUD23.73^
from UHNW accounts, which is not entirely uncommon, with payments PRICE TARGET | % TO PT AUD30.25 | +28%
to beneficiaries, and the purchase of off-platform assets. However, the 52W HIGH-LOW AUD38.30 - AUD19.81
most interesting news likely relates to the 75 new financial intermediary FLOAT (%) | ADV MM (USD) 47.1% | 16.21
relationships. In our view, this sheds some light on the group's inflow target MARKET CAP AUD5.8B | $4.1B
of $18-$20bn for FY27. TICKER NWL AU
^Prior trading day's closing price unless otherwise
noted.
JEFe View: No changes to EPS forecast or Rating.
4Q26 FUA net flows were +$3.2bn, slightly below cons. at $3.4bn, with moderation driven FY (Jun) CHANGE TO JEFe JEF vs CONS
by custodial outflows of $5.3bn, reflecting partial withdrawals across a small number of 2026 2027 2026 2027
UNHW accounts, alongside investor caution related to proposed tax changes. Importantly, EPS* NA NA -8% -11%
the underlying client relationships remain on-platform, while gross custodial inflows increased NP* NA NA NA NA
+11% on pcp to $8.4bn. In our view, the continued strength in gross activity supports
management’s FY27e inflow target. 2026 (AUD) 1Half 2Half FY
Total FUA increased 7.9% q/q to $135.7bn vs cons of $134.3bn, underpinned by $6.7bn of NP* -- -- 129.3
positive market movements and reversing the negative market impact recorded in the March PREV
quarter. Custodial FUA reached $134.3bn, up 20% on pcp, although fee-paying custodial FUA *Adj*Adj EPSNet Profit
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