REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Tough 2Q Set-Up, Focus On Gas Gen Bookings, End-Market Outlooks; Stay Buy
Research evidence excerpt
Tough 2Q Set-Up, Focus On Gas Gen Bookings, End-Market Outlooks; Stay Buy
overruns. To be clear, renewables cost overruns and
corresponding project write-downs not to be understated and a clear risk management breakdown across
the PRIM organization culminating with abrupt leadership changes.
Still see value even after adjusting for execution risks and other fundamentals but will take more than just
one quarter of in-line financial results and management execution meeting already weak expectations for
any sort of confidence rebound.
We perceive a serious hit to management credibility given the cadence of initially guiding down renewables
tacitly in 4Q25, then reaffirming a bullish outlook to start the year, and then ultimately more meaningfully
guiding down around the same renewable concerns on two consecutive updates.
PRIM squarely in the “penalty box”. Once renewables issues clearly in the rearview mirror and gas gen
continues to emerge as the next growth driver already materializing with $2Bn of new bookings in 2Q,
we can see relative discount narrowing to our 30% risk-adjustment relative valuation discount. See future
stock performance contingent on execution over the next 12 months. Also, look for corporate buybacks
with $100Mn available under the share repurchase program (as of June) with only $50Mn repurchased
during 2Q. See shares at current levels more than adequately reflective of risks and the lingering concerns
while other end-markets exhibit strength and momentum carrying into FY27 to likely represent a new base
for growth. PRIM to benefit from accelerating infrastructure tailwinds across numerous power, energy,
communications, electrical and other end-markets (ex-renewables) with a skilled workforce (~18,500)
throughout the U.S.
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