REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Sino Land FY26 Earnings Preview; Higher Rates to Support FY27E Interest Income
Research evidence excerpt
Sino Land FY26 Earnings Preview; Higher Rates to Support FY27E Interest Income
Global Research
13 July 2026ab
First Read
EquitiesSino Land
FY26 Earnings Preview; Higher Rates to Support Hong Kong
FY27E Interest Income Real Estate
12-month rating Buy
12m price target HK$13.40
Slight increase in rental income in 2HFY26
Prior : HK$14.30
We forecast Sino's FY26 earnings to reach HK$4.6bn, representing a 10% YoY decline.
The decrease is mainly attributable to lower interest income and reduced development Price (10 Jul 2026) HK$10.31
profit recognition, owing to a lower product mix from St. George's Mansions booking. RIC: 0083.HK BBG: 83 HK
Meanwhile, overall development margins should remain broadly stable at approximately
Trading data and key metrics
7%, compared with 7.2% in 1HFY26. We also forecast a slight increase in rental income
in 2HFY26, driven by higher office occupancy despite ongoing high-single-digit negative 52-wk range HK$13.26-8.67
rental reversions. On the retail side, Hong Kong retail rental reversions have remained in Market cap. HK$92.9b/US$11.9b
the low- to mid-single-digit negative range year-to-date. We expect rental reversions to Shares o/s 9,015m (ORD)
continue improving and potentially return to positive territory in 2027. In addition, the Free float 44%
hotel segment should continue to improve in 2HFY26, supported by margin expansion Avg. daily volume ('000) 9,130
driven by higher room rates in HK (+11% YoY in 5M26) and better occupancy. Notably, Avg. daily value (m) HK$105.8
The Fullerton Ocean Park Hotel Hong Kong has already achieved occupancy of over Common s/h equity (06/26E) HK$169b
80%. We forecast Sino to maintain an unchanged final DPS of HK$0.43, bringing full- P/BV (06/26E) 0.6x
year DPS to HK$0.58 and implying a dividend yield of 5.7%.
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