REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
S. Korea Consumer | Asia Pacific 2Q26 Preview
Research evidence excerpt
S. Korea Consumer | Asia Pacific 2Q26 Preview
IdeaMFocus KPI Focus KPI Surprise Likely impact to consensus EPS*
• China: With robust underlying trend (we estimate up high single digits YoY) combined with FX effect, F&F
could enjoy >20% YoY growth in Chinese sales.
• We expect an earnings surprise, mainly from better-than-expected overseas performance.
• Release date: July 31 (TBD)
GS Retail Co Ltd 007070.KS
CVS and supermarket earnings In-line Largely unchanged
• CVS SSSG could be around 5% YoY. Improving SSSG and moderating fixed costs (limited store openings)
could improve OPM 30bp YoY.
• Supermarket earnings could improve from W5bn in 2Q25 to W9bn in 2Q26 with positive SSSG.
• Release date: week of August 3 (TBD)
Hotel Shilla 008770.KS
Travel retail (TR) earnings In-line Largely unchanged
• Shilla earnings could be higher than our estimate thanks to improving TR margins, but in line with consensus.
• Rather than the top-llne trend, domestic TR earnings would depend on discount reduction (to resellers) and
ICN site closing (loss-making site closed in April).
• Overseas airport business could turn loss-making again in 2Q26 without additional rent savings.
Hyundai Department Store 069960.KS
Department store and affilates' OP In-line Largely unchanged
• Thanks to strong SSSG (up 15% YoY), department stores could show a sharp OP increment (up >70% YoY).
• However, Zinus could continue to make a sizable loss (~W24bn) from slow US sales (delays in sell-in),
offsetting most of the earnings increments from department store and TR.
KT&G 033780.KS
Tobacco earnings and overseas
Likely upside surprise Modest revision higher
cigarette sales
• Overseas cigarette sales could continue strong growth with hgih-single-digit (%) volume growth YoY and >10%
ASP hike.
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