REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Lacking Catalyst Zeal: Downgrade to Hold
Research evidence excerpt
Lacking Catalyst Zeal: Downgrade to Hold
attractive call option. PREV 32.80
However, 2H readouts are unlikely to materially crystallise this value: Over the next six
months, readouts are unlikely to build meaningful confidence in key assets, in our view. For
amylin petrelintide, Phase II ZUPREME-2 results in obese/overweight patients with Type 2 Exhibit600 2 - PT Bridge for Zealand Pharma
diabetes could provide small upside, as weight loss in the diabetic cohort may be more 500 505
comparable to the data in patients without diabetes, unlike the typical 35% weight loss step- 400 320
down seen between the groups with GLP-1s. However, we consider Phase II petre + GLP-1/Glu 300
combo and Phase III monotherapy readouts as the more important catalysts for building belief 200100
in the Zealand story, though investors will likely need to wait until 2028E for results. For GLP-1/ 0
Glu survodutide, we think titration amendments for SYNCHRONIZE-2 and SYNCHRONIZE- Old PT Fx Updates Survodutide Discount Factor New PT
CVOT were implemented too late to meaningfully improve tolerability, suggesting results in 2H .Source: Jefferies research
are unlikely to improve perception of the programme, and hence liver disease MASH readouts
from 2H27E will potentially be the first opportunity to see the impact of an adapted titration
regimen.
In the interim, competitor newsflow will be tough to spin positively: We flag multiple
competitor amylin programmes below with readouts over the next 6-12 months, which we see
as unlikely to increase investor confidence in the petrelintide programme. Of note, we argue
cagrilintide monotherapy could be a more credible first entrant than widely perceived (Phase
III results mid-2027E), whilst GPCR's first Phase I small-molecule results later this year could
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