REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Met W/ MGMT: Loyalty + Merchandising Initiatives Impactful
Research evidence excerpt
Met W/ MGMT: Loyalty + Merchandising Initiatives Impactful
USA | Hardlines
Academy Sports EquityJulyResearch9, 2026
ESTIMATE CHANGEMet W/ MGMT: Loyalty + Merchandising
RATING BUYInitiatives Impactful
PRICE $44.46^
We met with Dan Aldridge, VP of Investor Relations, to catch up on the sporting
goods industry and ASO's growth initiatives. We walked away believing that a PRICE TARGET | % TO PT $67.00 | +51%
bull case of LDD% annual EPS growth is viable after '26, aided by ~1% comps, 52W HIGH-LOW $62.45 - $41.29
slight GM expansion, modest SG&A leverage, and generous share buybacks FLOAT (%) | ADV MM (USD) 96.4% | 79.58
funded by robust free cash flow. Reiterate Buy. MARKET CAP $2.9B
TICKER ASO
^Prior trading day's closing price unless otherwise
Wallet Share Opportunity From Credit Card Revamp Referenced As Compelling. Bottom-line, this noted.
initiative rewards households for concentrating more category spend at Academy and, as such,
deepens loyalty. Near-term, management sees a transaction benefit from cardholders activating
same-day welcome discounts. Medium-term, management sees this program catalyzing per- FY (Jan) CHANGE TO JEFe JEF vs CONS
household spend & trip frequency with growing rewards earned at Academy Sports and elsewhere. 2026 2027 2026 2027
REV NM NM NM -1%
Management Seeking Create & Monetize New Traffic-Driving Initiatives. ASO's exclusive brick- EPS NA <1% +3% +4%
and-mortar partnership with HYROX is an opportunity to capitalize on the sport's rapidly growing
popularity. Near-term, the expansion of merchandise to ~170 locations by year-end is additive, and 2026 ($) Q1A Q2 Q3 Q4 FY
medium-term, integrating local Academy locations into pre- or post-race day schedules welcomes EPS 0.93 2.22 1.35 2.17 6.65
new households to the customer file.
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