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US Softlines Retail Quant Report: UAA, BIRK, BOOT, GRGD Over BKE, CROX, GOOS, URBN

Published: 2026-07-06Institution: UBS EquitiesPages: 29Original language: EnglishEvidence page: 1

Research evidence excerpt

US Softlines Retail Quant Report: UAA, BIRK, BOOT, GRGD Over BKE, CROX, GOOS, URBN

Global Research

6 July 2026ab

US Softlines Retail Equities

AmericasQuant Report: UAA, BIRK, BOOT, GRGD Over

BKE, CROX, GOOS, URBN Retailers, Specialty

Jay Sole

Analyst

jay.sole@ubs.com

We use quantitative analysis to enhance our stock picking methodology: +1-212-713 3559

In this quant update, we combine our fundamental outlooks with a quantitative factor Mauricio Serna, CFA

analysis to generate views on which Softline stocks could be strongest/weakest over the Analyst

next three months.The conclusion is we like Buy-rated UAA, BIRK, BOOT, and GRGD mauricio.serna@ubs.com

over Neutral-rated BKE, CROX, GOOS, and URBN. We believe UAA, BIRK, BOOT, and +1-212-713 9028

GRGD have solid fundamental outlooks as well as leverage to the factors we think Natalie Koltermann

should work best. Those factors are: High EV to EBIT (12m fwd), High P/E (12m fwd), and Associate Analyst

Highest Daily Price Fluctuation 3m. This report doubles as a "do it yourself" resource. We natalie.koltermann@ubs.com

provide tools for investors to choose their own factors and see what stocks might work +1-212-713 4229

best in alternative scenarios. Aditya Kulkarni

Associate Analyst

We pick three factors we think could work best over the next three months: aditya.kulkarni@ubs.com

We analyzed which factors have best predicted Softline stock performance over the past +1-212-713 1098

24 years and through June 2026 under different macroeconomic environments. We use Serge Severenchuk

four variables to characterize macro environments: A) GDP growth, B) Inflation rates, C) Associate Analyst

Fed Funds rate, and D) Fed balance sheet. To decide which factors might work best over serge.severenchuk@ubs.com

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