REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Swiss Prime Site: H1 Preview: Expecting further revaluation gains
Research evidence excerpt
Swiss Prime Site: H1 Preview: Expecting further revaluation gains
Swiss Prime Site UBS Research
Estimate changes and valuation
Ahead of H1 26 results to be published on 20 August 2026, we update our estimates
and PT. We slightly cut our rental income assumptions, as we believe the company has
been more successful in selling down than buying additional assets given the tightness
of the market. In fact, in FY25 the company had mentioned sell down of non core
buildings of around CHF136m and had mentioned plans to further optimize the
portfolio with continued sell downs of up to CHF150m. However, we would expect to
see relettings for major tenants in the Prime tower in Zurich, which should support like-
for-like rental growth, where we pencil in 2.0% for FY26. For FY28 we continue to be
above the company's mid term guidance of CHF500m+, but nevertheless slightly reduce
that estimate as we see potential delays of finalising Jelmoli. We would expect mid term
targets to be updated at the company's CMD which was announced to take place in
Zurich on 26 October 2026.
We pencil in a significant drag on interest cost for FY26, from the cash impact of the
incentivized conversion invitation of the convertible bond issued in 2023. For FY27/28
we leave our interest expense assumptions unchanged. We slightly reduce the expense
ratio though, amid further reduced number of properties, which allows for efficiency
gains we believe. Lastly, we slightly raise our expected revaluation gains, where we
expect further tailwinds from lower interest rates as well as reletting success. We now
expect CHF314m for FY26, up from CHF217m in FY25, and corresponding to around
2.3% of the portfolio value. Yet, we expect group LTV to be rising slightly overall from
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