REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
First Read: Dashenlin Pharmaceutical
Research evidence excerpt
First Read: Dashenlin Pharmaceutical
ed stores, and 2,000+ franchised stores, with current progress tracking in line with
12/26E 1.33 1.33 0 1.29
or slightly ahead of plan. Mgmt. expects recently signed acquisitions to make a more
12/27E 1.53 1.53 0 1.50
meaningful financial contribution from Q326 onward, given the timing of consolidation. 12/28E 1.79 1.79 0 1.70
Recent policies: limited near-term impact, long-term positive to leaders Henry Liu, CFA
AnalystMgmt. characterized recent pharmacy-related policy developments as part of the
S1460520110002
sector's ongoing transition toward higher-quality, more compliant growth. In mgmt.'s
henry-za.liu@ubs.com
view, the NHSA's regulatory talks with several pharmacy operators in May were +86-105-832 8509
responses to isolated compliance issues rather than a shift in policy stance. Regarding
Chen Chen, PhDthe development of reimbursement "white lists" for personal accounts, mgmt. believes
Analyst
local HSAs would retain some flexibility, taking into account local pharmacy sales and
S1460520100001
consumer demand. On tighter GLP-1 regulations, mgmt. noted that weight-loss GLP-1s chen-zb.chen@ubs.com
remain eligible for offline pharmacy sales despite the online sales ban, implying a +86-10-5832 8201
neutral-to-slightly positive impact. Looking ahead, mgmt. believes a stricter regulatory
Judy Xie
environment will ultimately benefit leading chains and support the gradual expansion of
Associate
gov. medical insurance access to pharmacies over time. S1460125100001
judy.xie@ubs.com
Valuation: Price target of Rmb26.70; maintain Buy +86-105-832 8006
We derive a DCF-based price target (WACC 9.3%) of Rmb26.70, implying 20x/17x
2026E/27E PE.
Highlights (Rmbm) 12/23 12/24 12/25 12/26E 12/27E 12/28E 12/29E 12/30E
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