REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Vicinity Centres (VCX.AX): Post-Development Hockey Stick Meets Macro Crosswinds — FY27–28 Growth Story Intact
Research evidence excerpt
Vicinity Centres (VCX.AX): Post-Development Hockey Stick Meets Macro Crosswinds — FY27–28 Growth Story Intact
Vicinity Centres (VCX.AX)
01 July 2026 Citi Research
earnings growth as this unwinds: a prudent and appropriate decision given the early-stage luxury retailer ramp.
• Luxury tenants signed on longer term leases – we view this embedded reversion as a medium-term earnings upside
catalyst.
• Management sees pathway to 6.25% yield as rents mature through lease cycles.
Uptown Brisbane — The Next Development Catalyst
• DA lodgement targeting August 2026. The redevelopment is an internal refurbishment — no major structural work —
covering Levels 4–6, with a prominent new Albert Street entry facing the Brisbane Metro station.
• Asset currently running at a 6% yield with segments that are fully insulated during construction.
• Targeting premium sporting and lifestyle brands in a new “Mini Majors” emporium precinct — strategically timed ahead of
the 2032 Brisbane Olympics.
Finance Costs, Hedging & Balance Sheet
• Weighted average cost of debt tracking ~5% for FY26. We anticipate costs remaining broadly flat to marginally lower as
tighter negotiated bank margins offset higher BBSW.
RELATED:
Region Group (RGN.AX): Defensive Convenience Retail, Rising NTA & ~8% Discount — Cost Discipline & Sector Flows
Scentre Group (SCG.AX): Warringah Mall Tour: Strong Specialty Sales, Reconfiguration Opportunity & Developing
Residential Option
Australia Real Estate: Record Transactions, Near-Full Occupancy — Australia Retail Real Estate Remains Attractive
with Momentum into August Results
Figure 1. Comp NOI growth – Dec 2025 Figure 2. Comp Specialty Growth – Dec 2025
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