REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEPC.AS): Q2/H1 to beat and FY guidance is likely to be raised. Stock should re-rate. Buy.
Research evidence excerpt
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEPC.AS): Q2/H1 to beat and FY guidance is likely to be raised. Stock should re-rate. Buy.
Viewpoint |
01 Jul 2026 07:45:25 ET │ 16 pages
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners
(CCEPC.AS)
Q2/H1 to beat and FY guidance is likely to be raised. Stock should re-
rate. Buy.
CITI'S TAKE Buy
Price (01 Jul 26 08:13) €87.80We expect Q2/H1 results to beat expectations and management to raise
FY26E organic EBIT growth guidance at the August 4th results. Our updated Target price €100.00
+2.3% Q2 OSG is +80bps above consensus and H1 organic EBIT growth Expected share price return 13.9%
+110bps ahead at +7.3%. The higher Q2 momentum reflects strong trading Expected dividend yield 2.5%in June, underpinned by better European weather, World Cup activation and
recent innovations. With FY26E profit delivery now likely to be more Expected total return 16.4%
balanced between H1/H2 and given good weather into early-July and a Market Cap €38,915M
skewing of efficiencies to H2, we think CCEP will raise its FY26E organic
US$44,292MEBIT guidance to “above 7%” (previously c.7%) with the H1 print. The stock
is trading at a small premium to wider Staples. However, we believe the
combination of positive earnings momentum and the return of buyback
support in August should allow the multiple to expand further. We reiterate
our Buy rating and our preference for CCEP over CCH. Price Performance
(RIC: CCEPC.AS, BB: CCEP NA)
Strong June trading like to upside surprise to Q2 consensus volumes and OSG —
Despite the Easter unwind, we expect Q2 trading trends at CCEP to be above current
consensus. We expect solid May trading will be followed by a very strong June, with
the business benefiting from both good weather in Europe, World Cup activation as
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