REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Prosus N.V (PRX.AS): Prosus model update and sell-side breakfast feedback
Research evidence excerpt
Prosus N.V (PRX.AS): Prosus model update and sell-side breakfast feedback
Action |
30 Jun 2026 09:55:30 ET │ 14 pages
Prosus N.V (PRX.AS)
Prosus model update and sell-side breakfast feedback
CITI'S TAKE
Buy We update our Prosus model following FY26 results on 29-Jun and
provide key feedback from the CFO sell-side breakfast. We increase our Price (29 Jun 26 16:30) €38.39
FY27/28e Consolidated eCommerce Revenue and aEBITDA forecasts, Target price €52.00↓
primarily reflecting better-than-expected FY26 results. Our FY27/28e from €53.00
Group Revenue forecasts increase +4%/+4% and aEBITDA +2%/+2%. Our Expected share price return 35.5%
Core Headline EPS forecasts fall -8%/-8%, reflecting higher net interest Expected dividend yield 0.8%
costs and amortisation of intangibles. Our updated forecasts imply FY27e
Expected total return 36.3% growth of c2% for eCommerce aEBITDA and +4% for FCF, consistent with
Market Cap €83,940M management commentary that earnings should be broadly flat YoY. Our
forecasts imply +6% FY27e Core Headline Earnings growth, reflecting US$95,540M
Tencent earnings momentum. Management has not provided explicit
FY27e guidance, but our FY27e aEBITDA forecasts for iFood of $133m
(guide: $100-150m) and JET of $109m (guide: >$100m) are in line with the
Monique PollardAC
outlook communicated in the FY26 shareholder letter published on 12- +44-20-7508-0686
May. Our SOTP-based TP falls to €52 (from €53) on updated estimates; monique.pollard@citi.com
Buy.
Jamie Bass
+44-20-7508-6383
Sell-side breakfast feedback — Much of the conversation at the group breakfast jamie.bass@citi.com
with the CFO centred around Prosus’ food businesses, specifically iFood and JET: (1)
On timing of investments: management expects iFood investments to be from 1H Vandita Sood
weighted.
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