REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Schneider Electric (SCHN.PA): Schneider to buy Cognite for US$3.1bn
Research evidence excerpt
Schneider Electric (SCHN.PA): Schneider to buy Cognite for US$3.1bn
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30 Jun 2026 13:53:35 ET │ 10 pages
Schneider Electric (SCHN.PA)
Schneider to buy Cognite for US$3.1bn
CITI’S TAKE
Schneider has announced that it will acquire Cognite, a provider of
Buy industrial data and AI software for an EV of US$3.1bn, ~18x trailing
Price (30 Jun 26 17:30) €285.40 revenue. Cognite’s roots are in the oil & gas / process industry, and we’d
expect the fit to Schneider’s Aveva applications and customer base to Target price €340.00
have been a key attraction. We had met Cognite alongside other players at Expected share price return 19.1%
the Hannover Fair in April (see here), where we had concluded that a Expected dividend yield 1.5%
number of blue-chip industrial customers were using smaller software Expected total return 20.7%
vendors for the data contextualization of their plant assets, with Cognite Market Cap €164,711M
also adding a layer on top of these contextualized datasets for AI decision
US$187,474M making. We had concluded at that time that incumbents would both
compete with, and in select cases acquire, these emerging AI players; we
see Schneider’s move for Cognite as consistent with that view, and a move
that strengthens Schneider’s position in Physical AI. Martin WilkieAC
+44-207-986-4077
The importance of data contextualization – Data contextualization is arguably the martin.wilkie@citi.com
key driver of Physical AI adoption – you can’t run the Physical AI tools without the
contextualized data, in the same way LLMs can’t be trained without text. The
specialist nature of contextualized data software suppliers – Oil & Gas and Process
industries in the case of Cognite – only underscores the moat from data access and
domain expertise.
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