REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Revisiting our investment case - Upgrade to Buy
Research evidence excerpt
Revisiting our investment case - Upgrade to Buy
et overcapacities,
industry supply / demand seems more balanced now, resulting in more stable industry pricing (see
e.g. stable ASP per MW for wind OEMs), benefiting Gurit's profitability. The stock trades on c7x 2026
EV/EBIT, which is a c50% discount to the average of Swiss small and midcap industrials, thus offering
an attractive risk reward.
EVIDENCE (1) Recent order intake growth at main Western OEMs (Vestas, Nordex, which we expect to be
among Gurit's main customers) as well as their 2026 sales outlook statements imply wind market
growth. (2) The company expects cCHF10m sales over 2-3 years coming from the furniture market
and cCHF10-15m from defence over 5 years (adding c1-2% to growth in 2026E). (3) The
antidumping investigation into Goldwind by the European Commission (details) and the blocking of a
wind turbine factory from Ming Yang in the UK (details) potentially suggest limited risk of Chinese
players gaining substantial market share in Europe near term. (4) Consensus expects higher operating
margins from main Western wind OEMs, reducing pricing pressure along the supply chain.
WHAT´S PRICED IN? We use UBS HOLT's Flex Valuation tool. After loading IBES consensus for 2026, we need to factor in
sales growth of 3% over 2027-30E (UBSe 4-5%) and a constant EBITDA margin of c12% (UBSe 12-
13%) to reach the current stock price.Please
Upside/Downside
Spectrum
Average organic sales Average EBIT margin Valuedrivers, 2025-28E EBIT CAGR
growth p.a. growth p.a.
CHF50 upside +9% +13% +90bp
CHF43 base +6% +9% +60bp
CHF25 downside 0% 0% 0bp
Source: UBS estimates
Company Description Gurit is a component and material supplier for wind blade producers (c75% sales) and marine &
industrial applications (c25%).
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