REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
FY26 beat confirms cash/EPS resilience; new CEO sharpens focus
Research evidence excerpt
FY26 beat confirms cash/EPS resilience; new CEO sharpens focus
Moonpig Group UBS Research
Key takeaways from the conference call
Strategy unchanged, but sharper execution focus: New CEO Catherine Faiers
ruled out a material strategy reset, reiterating the financial framework of mid-to-
HSD% revenue growth, 25-27% Adj EBITDA margin and DD% Adj EPS growth.
The focus is now on unlocking more value from existing assets such as customer
relationships/data, operational excellence and better use of group capabilities.
Revenue levers to remain variable by period: Management reiterated that
customer growth, frequency and AOV are all long-term levers, but does not expect
all three to compound evenly every half or year. New customer acquisition remains
strong, AOV remains positive, and frequency remains an opportunity, with
management looking at customer missions/segments to unlock under-served use
cases.
AOV bridge: c50% from postal proposition: FY26 AOV growth of +5.7% was
strong, with broadly half driven by postal proposition changes. Stamp price
increases contributed c1ppt and tracked delivery c2ppts. Standard card prices
were unchanged at £3.99. Management does not see slower stamp inflation as a
limiter to the mid-term revenue framework, as stamps are only one input into
basket size, and commented in recent periods of higher stamp inflation, pricing
lever was less used.
Tracked delivery still has runway: Tracked delivery is now c44% of UK card-
only orders (in H2'26), with management expecting more than half of card-only
orders to move through tracked delivery in FY27, helped by higher large-card
dispatch penetration. Premium next-day delivery by 1pm is seeing good uptake
and should also support AOV. Management stressed Tracked is not a one-off lever,
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