REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Initiation of Coverage: At the inflection of flex office‘s growth
Research evidence excerpt
Initiation of Coverage: At the inflection of flex office‘s growth
mber of From To % ch Cons.
members rising to 4,035 and occupied workstations to 29,422 in 2025, representing 12/26E - 0.00 - -
increases of 27% and 10% respectively compared to 2023. 12/27E - 0.02 - -
12/28E - 0.06 - -
Enters expansionary growth phase with market openings
Michael Lim
We expect the number of operational centres to double to 100 by 2028. This implies a
Analyst
+19% CAGR in workstations and underpins our +26% revenue CAGR estimate across michael-h.lim@ubs.com
2025-28E, alongside a +2ppts cumulative increase in occupancy and a +4% CAGR in +65-6495 5902
revenue per occupied workstation. As revenue growth outpaces the increase in cash
Terence Lee, CFA
lease payments, which we forecast at a +21% CAGR, we expect cash EBITDA margins to
expand from 9.4% in 2025 to 13.8% in 2028, driving a +43% CAGR in cash EBITDA. terence.lee@ubs.com
+65-6495 3570
Valuation: S$1.18 price target based on 9x 2027E EV/cash-EBITDA multiple
The share price has fallen since listing and we think reflects limited investor familiarity
with the flex office model, and execution concerns. JustCo plans to open 28 centres in
2026, and Japan is a high-margin market to monitor, as slower expansion could weigh
on cash EBITDA. The market capitalisation and free float are also small, which heightens
liquidity risk. We are constructive, and view the extent of the selloff as difficult to
reconcile with valuations at 1.8x EV/cash-EBITDA and 0.4x price-to-cash-EBITDA
growth, which is attractive versus peers. The listed workspace peer set is relatively
narrow, leaving a wide 4-13x EV/cash-EBITDA trading range and limiting the value of a
single point multiple. Our price target is based on 9x multiple, the midpoint of the range.
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