Latin American Economic Perspectives: Mexico: Deportations, Migration, and Remittances

Research evidence excerpt

Latin American Economic Perspectives: Mexico: Deportations, Migration, and Remittances

Global Research

24 June 2026ab

Latin American Economic Perspectives Economics

AmericasMexico: Deportations, Migration, and

Remittances Rafael De La Fuente

Economist

rafael.delafuente@ubs.com

+1-203-719 7127

Deportations still well-short of stated Trump administration goals Andrea Casaverde

The Trump administration has stopped releasing deportation data on a timely basis, and Economist

only legal efforts like the one spearheaded by the Deportation Data Project have led to andrea.casaverde@ubs.com

+1-203-713-2515

the authorities releasing it piecemeal. The latest data download shows deportations

through early March running at over 30k per month on average since last Sep (Fig 1), Roque Montero

putting them on track on annualized basis to come close to those registered during the Strategist

Obama administration (Fig 2). Still, this is well short of the one million annual roque.montero@ubs.com

+1-203-719 2112

deportations targeted by US authorities, although it does exclude those who are self-

deporting and those who are granted “voluntary departure” by an immigration judge

(DHS has stated in press releases that self-deportations exceed 2 million since Trump

took office, but other estimates put them between 200k-400k in 2025).

The step-up in deportations mirrors increased arrests by ICE. At the beginning of

Trump’s second term, roughly half of migration-related arrests involved individuals

already facing criminal charges (which include violent and drug-related crimes, but also

immigration and traffic violations). However, starting in mid-2025 most ICE arrests have

focused on migrants with no prior criminal record (Fig 1). Following the fallout from