REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Cut From Sartori‘s Cloth; Driving A Strong Q2
Research evidence excerpt
Cut From Sartori‘s Cloth; Driving A Strong Q2
Ermenegildo Zegna NV (ZGN)
Equity Research
June 24, 2026
Company Description
Ermenegildo Zegna Group
Ermenegildo Zegna Group was founded in 1910 by Ermenegildo Zegna in Trivero, Italy.
Ermenegildo Zegna Group began as a textile mill (>110 years ago in Trivero, Italy) sourcing premium natural fibres globally and evolved into the
namesake luxury menswear brand.
The group also holds majority ownership of Thom Browne (92%), as well as the exclusive rights to operate Tom Ford Fashion (dilutive to EBIT).
Today, the group reports earnings in three divisions (ZEGNA, Thom Browne, Tom Ford Fashion). >100% of FY24 EBIT comes from ZEGNA
Segment, which includes the core menswear brand as well as the Textiles division (which is important given the increasingly vertically integrated
supply industry).
Company Valuation/Risks
Valuation: We rate ZGN Buy. Our PT of US$15 places the shares on a 2027 PE of c.24x, closer to the top of its 11x-28x trading range, and a c.16%
discount to ultra lux peers at current prices. Our estimates place ZGN at a strong DD% discount to ultra lux at our PTs (a suitably large discount
to reflect liquidity constraints and Thom Browne's challenges).
Risks: China macroenvironment, US tariff considerations, FX volatility, trends in HNWIs. Other risks include weakening brand resonance, and key
man risk.
Brunello Cucinelli SpA
We rate BC IM Hold with a PT of €88. On our estimates, this places the shares at a 2027 P/E of 35.5x, which is a discount to our PT placing peer
RMS on c.39x, given BC's lower margin profile.
Risks include US ability to spend, trends in UHNWI, global interest rates, China policy on wealth, and euro FX fluctuations. Other risks include
weakening brand resonance, and key man risk.
Ferrari NV
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