REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
*MONDAY* JEDI – Trades, Macro, Marketing Feedback, OMR, EQNR, REP, TRGP
Research evidence excerpt
*MONDAY* JEDI – Trades, Macro, Marketing Feedback, OMR, EQNR, REP, TRGP
Energy
Equity Research
June 19, 2026
Company Valuation/Risks
Eni Spa
Our price target is derived from the average of a DCF model and sum of the parts. The company's production growth has high visibility due to
exploration success while operational performance and delivery of satellite model differentiation strategy offer risk and reward.
Equinor
Our NOK380 price target is derived from the average of a DCF model and sum of the parts. Upside risk mainly related to higher-than-expected
oil and spot gas prices, as well as sustained growth in upstream with elevated reserves replacement and renewables portfolio delivering in line
with return guidance. Downside risks include a weaker Brent oil/European gas price environment, lower facilities up-time, and poor delivery of
Equinor’s growth projects
Keyera Corp.
Our KEY price target is based on a EV/EBITDA target multiple. Risks include adverse regulatory decisions around the PAA deal, which could result
in less commercial upside and less ultimate synergy capture, plus lower condensate pricing and/or tighter frac spreads that would adversely
affect Marketing and long-term growth prospects for the contracted businesses.
Repsol
Our €28 price target is based on the average of a DCF model and sum of the parts. Aside from oil/natural gas commodity price and refining margin
risks faced by all IOCs, the company's exposure to high-risk countries such as Libya and Venezuela is a key risk (or opportunity given recent
events). Other risks include execution of energy transition strategy, stronger-than-expected downstream earnings, and successful exploration
Targa Resources Corp.
Valuation: Our price target is derived sum of the parts FY28 EV/EBITDA methodology.
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