REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Before the lights go out
Research evidence excerpt
Before the lights go out
UpdateMThe most recent cases of this have resulted in a material uplift in base rent;
• Would be happy to divest - The new CEO said he was happy to trim the tail -
there are assets in the portfolio making NOIs not dissimilar to 10yrs ago. Why is
this a good time to monetise these assets? We see the demand for supermarket
malls as strong, what may have sold for 7.5%+ yield a few years ago could
command <6% today;
• No intention of doing co-mingled funds etc - RGN may do select partnerships,
and will continue to grow its relationship with GIC across the Metro Funds series,
but it does not see itself as a fund manager like other REITs;
• It is actively managing its interest expense - The company recently bought back a
package of US Private Placements (USPP), using a bridge facility. It will soon term
it out to Medium-Term Notes (MTN). The USPP has a margin of 180-280bps, which
is somewhat above the market rate for margins at present. This could provide a
small uplift to FY27 earnings.
• Recent research: Australia Property: The Adjustment Cycle (20 Apr 2026)
Centuria Capital Group
• World Square office fund: Capital raising target is c.A$270m for the World Square
Office fund (proportional asset value c.A$450m). The progress is mixed, with the
institutional side of things going well (multiple offshore investors - including new
ones onto the CNI platform), but direct investors (those who invest through the
Product Disclosure Statement /Information Memorandum) are slower to register
interest. This will be one of CNI's biggest ever acquisitions, according to the
company;
• Earnings outlook: The recognition of profits for World Square establishment is
somewhat fluid - we think it could spread out over FY26 and FY27. While
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