REAL-TIME GLOBAL RESEARCH
Earnings Concerns Receding for Now
Research evidence excerpt
Earnings Concerns Receding for Now
Idea
June 16, 2026 12:04 PM GMT
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities Co., Ltd.+MTires | Japan Shinji Kakiuchi
Equity Analyst
Earnings Concerns Receding for Shinji.Kakiuchi@morganstanleymufg.comHayato Takashima +81 3 6836-5416
Research Associate
Hayato.Takashima@morganstanleymufg.com +81 3 6836-5414
Now
We only fine-tune our forecasts and maintain our industry view
at In-Line. In order of preference, our stock selection remains:
Toyo Tire > Yokohama Rubber > Bridgestone > Sumitomo Tires
Rubber. We continue to focus on the impact of trading down on Japan
Industry View In-Line
tire consumption and each company’s countermeasures.
What’s Changed
Yokohama Rubber (5101.T) From To
Key Takeaways Price Target ¥7,400 ¥8,000
Challenges remain (lackluster US REP tire demand, penetration of tire price hikes, Sumitomo Rubber (5110.T) From To
and impact from consumers down-trading), but we think the risk of earnings Price Target ¥2,500 ¥2,350
deterioration has receded for now.
Toyo Tire: Reduce our F12/26 forecasts due to lower sales in Japan and Europe
Exhibit 1 : Tire company share prices ( Dec
caused by system trouble in 1Q, but inquiries for US WLTR solid; our F12/27
30, 2025 = 100)
forecasts are unchanged. 150
Yokohama Rubber: Demand for agricultural machinery tires remains tough, but 125 Yokohama
share gains are positive. We raise our F12/26-F12/27 forecasts. Our focus is on TOPIX
100 Bridgestone
effects of new PSR plants in China/Mexico. Sumitomo
Toyo
Bridgestone: New PSR products are contributing in Japan and N. America, and 75
margins in Europe are also improving. However, demand in the overall TBR 50
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