GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Multi-Industry and Electrical Equipment: Today's Wrap: HON and DOV
Research evidence excerpt
Multi-Industry and Electrical Equipment: Today's Wrap: HON and DOV
Deutsche Bank
Research
North America Industry Date
Multi-Industry and Electrical Multi-Industry and 23 July 2026 Equipment
Electrical Equipment
Today's Wrap: HON and DOV
Nicole DeBlase
Today, Honeywell and Dover reported quarterly earnings and held their Research Analyst
conference calls; in this report, we lay out our thoughts on the quarter and +1-212-250-5916
summarize the updates we’ve made to our models and price targets.
Andrew Krill, CFA
HON: Raising our price target by 7% to $282; maintain Buy rating Research Analyst
Investor positioning on HON remains decidedly negative, and so we were not +1-212-250-2997
surprised to see the stock gain ~6% on the back of a solid MSD% core operating
Naim Kaplan
beat, robust (and accelerating) organic order growth (+11%, with 17% short-cycle Research Associate
growth), and a full-year guidance raise. From here, we view an upward shift into +1-212-250-5332
HSD organic growth territory as a real possibility, driven by continued strength
within BA (has been posting HSD organic growth for some time), increasing Jackson Glenn
Research Associate
project activity within PA&T (as seen within recent order trends), and the impact +1-212-250-2500
of a short-cycle industrial recovery on IA. In this sense, we now forecast $8.34 adj.
EPS in 2026, near the high end of the upwardly revised $8.05-8.35 guidance
range – but see the potential for further upside if order strength continues. In
2027, we think HON could deliver above-average adj. EPS growth of ~25%, Key changes
justifying, in our view, a mid-20s NTM P/E multiple. Our price target increases 7% Dover
to $282 (based on 25x our NTM EPS forecast, in 12 months’ time); we maintain Price target (USD) 230 227 -1%
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