GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Givaudan: Solid H1s with more to come in H2
Research evidence excerpt
Givaudan: Solid H1s with more to come in H2
23 July 2026
Givaudan
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Macroeconomic fluctuations often account for most of the risks associated with exposures to instruments that
promise to pay fixed or variable interest rates. For an investor who is long fixed-rate instruments (thus receiving these
cash flows), increases in interest rates naturally lift the discount factors applied to the expected cash flows and thus
cause a loss. The longer the maturity of a certain cash flow and the higher the move in the discount factor, the higher
will be the loss. Upside surprises in inflation, fiscal funding needs, and FX depreciation rates are among the most
common adverse macroeconomic shocks to receivers. But counterparty exposure, issuer creditworthiness, client
segmentation, regulation (including changes in assets holding limits for different types of investors), changes in tax
policies, currency convertibility (which may constrain currency conversion, repatriation of profits and/or liquidation of
positions), and settlement issues related to local clearing houses are also important risk factors. The sensitivity of
fixed-income instruments to macroeconomic shocks may be mitigated by indexing the contracted cash flows to
inflation, to FX depreciation, or to specified interest rates - these are common in emerging markets. The index fixings
may - by construction - lag or mis-measure the actual move in the underlying variables they are intended to track.
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