GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Best is Yet to Come Post First Full Quarter w/ MOFG; Bump Up Ests/PT & Reit OW
Research evidence excerpt
Best is Yet to Come Post First Full Quarter w/ MOFG; Bump Up Ests/PT & Reit OW
C O M P A NY N O TE
J u l y 2 1 , 2 0 2 6
Mgmt.’s pipeline commentary was upbeat across Des Moines, Twin Cities, and its metro
Wisconsin markets, particularly given existing production talent capabilities to move up-
market in these larger MSAs with NIC’s larger hold limits post-MOFG deal consummation.
NIC is also continuing to win smaller commercial relationships across its footprint.
Moreover, we understand targeted MOFG-related production talent retention (both
commercial- and wealth management-related) is tracking very positively for NIC.
We continue to model 2% LQA loan growth during 2H26 and 4% YoY growth in 2027. Our
outlook could prove to be overly conservative as NIC continues to have success on the
new client acquisition front by leveraging high-touch and more relationship-based model
across its legacy markets and with the addition of MOFG’s complementary footprint.
EOP deposits of $12.5B (-1% LQ) were 1% below PSCe. Mgmt. attributed a ~$220M step-
down (-12% LQ) in interest-bearing DDA largely to municipal rate-related attrition. EOP
core deposits (ex. CDs and brokered) were flat LQ but should resume growing in 2H26.
The L/D ratio ticked up to 86% (vs. 85% at 3/31) and we model it drifting up toward 88%-
89% during 2H26/2027 as NIC continues to optimize and reduce higher cost funding.
Stable Credit Metrics in 2Q; Benign Asset Quality Expectations Unchanged
NPAs declined 6% LQ to $75.0M (or -4 bps LQ to 0.69% of loans and OREO) as negative
credit migration at legacy NIC remained negligible. We also understand that
criticized/classified balances (down ~$50M) and watchlist (down ~$50M) have improved
since the MOFG deal closed in mid-February.
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