GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Accelerating Growth Ahead; Specific Investment of Navitas Proceeds Still TBD
Research evidence excerpt
Accelerating Growth Ahead; Specific Investment of Navitas Proceeds Still TBD
C O M PA N Y N O T E
J u l y 2 1 , 2 0 2 6
• Upward NIM Trajectory Expected Post Navitas Close - The NIM has expanded for the
last six consecutive quarters, however the NIM is expected to contract by 20-25 bps into
4Q26 (impact in 3Q dependent on deal close), as the Navitas transaction creates a static
NIM headwind. Positively, the core NIM should widen as loan growth accelerates, back-book
repricing continues, and the Navitas proceeds are used to pay down borrowings, shrinking
the balance sheet modestly. Beyond that, the underlying widening trend is expected to fully
offset that headwind over the following 2 quarters, putting 4Q26 bank on the expansion path.
That said, loan yields are expected to decline ~30 bps with Navitas's exit, but new production
is coming on at rates above that lower base, supporting an increasing loan yield trajectory off
the reset. On the liability side, deposit costs are expected to drift slightly higher in 2H due an
increasing competitive landscape.
• Loan Growth & Capital Deployment - Excluding Navitas, loan growth of 6.4% LQA was
solid, led by strong growth in HELOC (+18% LQA), C&I (+13%) and owner-occupied CRE
(+8%), while residential was weaker (-3% LQA). Management plans to drive further organic
loan growth across C&I and CRE segments through strategic hiring. On the capital front, UCB
has $63M remaining under its repurchase authorization and reaffirmed its intent to repurchase
the remaining $50M of Peach State stock consideration this year, but we are modeling for
additional repurchases in lieu of definitive clarity around other actions from the Navitas capital
and liquidity. Management is open to exploring further M&A opportunities, targeting smaller
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