GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Iberdrola (AO) | Buy | Finnish deal: Expanding regulated networks in another quality market
Research evidence excerpt
Iberdrola (AO) | Buy | Finnish deal: Expanding regulated networks in another quality market
News comment
Release date: 22 July 2026
Jose Porta
Equity Research Analyst
+34 914 36 5113
jporta@keplercheuvreux.com
BuyIberdrola
Spain | Utilities Beta Profile: MCap: EUR140.1bn
Target Price: EUR17.30 Bloomberg: IBE SM Reuters: IBE.MC
Current Price: EUR21.32 Free float 85%
Up/downside: -18.9% Avg. daily volume (EURm) 417.8
YTD abs performance 15.5% Market data: 21 July 2026
52-week high/low (EUR) 21.84/15.15
Finnish deal: Expanding regulated networks in another quality market
Key points:
Iberdrola acquires 80% of Finland's largest DSO for c. EUR2bn equity value (EUR5bn 100% of EV), with closing expected in Q1-27E.
Immediately EPS accretive, with no upside assumptions embedded despite multiple operational and regulatory growth
opportunities.
Reinforces Iberdrola's regulated networks strategy while maintaining disciplined capital allocation and balance sheet strength:
The deal will be funded via capital redeployment from the second Mexican disposal.
Transaction overview: EUR2bn for an 80% equity stake
Iberdrola has agreed to buy an 80% stake in Caruna, Finland's largest electricity distribution company, entering into another
highly rated (AA+) regulated electricity market.
The transaction values Caruna at an enterprise value of around EUR5bn (100%), including EUR2.47bn of net debt, while Iberdrola
will pay approximately EUR2bn for the 80% equity stake, with EUR1bn of that consideration deferred for 30 months after closing.
The acquisition will be funded through capital recycling following the sale of the remainder of Mexico's thermal generation
business and is expected to be completed during Q1-27E.
Shareholder structure and partnership model
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