GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
KSB (1K) | Buy | Macro-related estimates cut ahead of H1
Research evidence excerpt
KSB (1K) | Buy | Macro-related estimates cut ahead of H1
#EarningsPreview #TPchange
Release date: 22 July 2026
Company research
ESG profile BuyKSB
Germany | Capital goods Beta Profile: MCap: EUR1.5bn
Target Price: EUR1,134.00 (1199.00) Change in TP: -5.4 % Bloomberg: KSBG AV Reuters: KSBG_p.DE
Current Price: EUR811.00 Change in Sales: -2.7% 26E/-3.5% 27E Free float 47%
Up/downside: 39.8% Change in Adj EBIT: -7.1% 26E/-4.7% 27E Avg. daily volume (EURm) 3.2
YTD abs performance -15.3% Market data: 21 July 2026 Change in Adj. EPS: -8.3% 26E/-5.4% 27E
52-week high/low (EUR) 1245.00/776.00
Macro-related estimates cut ahead of H1 Price performance
Why this report?
We expect KSB to deliver resilient Q2 results and reaffirm our Buy rating,
although we lower our target price to EUR1,134 (from EUR1,199) following
estimate cuts reflecting weaker industrial activity, project delays and
temporary service mix pressure. Despite these near-term headwinds, we
expect management to reiterate its 2026 guidance. KSB continues to benefit
from a strong balance sheet, resilient aftermarket exposure and an attractive
valuation. Our revised target price remains based on a conservative 6x 2027E
EV/EBITDA, leaving meaningful upside versus global flow-control peers.
Key findings
We expect KSB to report a resilient Q2 despite a weak macro backdrop. Sales are
forecast at EUR755m, flat YOY and up 6% QOQ, while order intake should rise 2% FY to 31/12 (EUR) 12/26E 12/27E 12/28E
YOY to EUR840m, despite a 17% QOQ decline following a strong Q1 supported by a Sales 3,070 3,226 3,437
large energy contract. EBIT is estimated at EUR51m (-18% YOY), although EBITDA adj. 348 384 417
underlying profitability should improve sequentially after adjusting for the EBIT adj. 270 299 298
Net profit adj.
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