GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Mexican Airports | 2Q26 Flyover
Research evidence excerpt
Mexican Airports | 2Q26 Flyover
Latin America | Airport EquityJulyResearch12, 2026
KEY STOCKS FEATURED INCLUDE:Mexican Airports | 2Q26 Flyover
Mexican Airports' 2Q26 results are set to be driven by soft traffic trends, with TICKER RATING PRICE TARGET
GAPB and Asur leading the decline reflecting weaker demand amid higher fares OMAB BUY $150.00
following the US/Iran conflict. We see investors focusing on: 1) 2H26 traffic PAC HOLD $265.00
outlook, 2) cost inflation, 3) GAPB's proposed Fibra structure, and 4) Asur’s ASR HOLD $325.00
Motiva integration & Technical services integration. We keep our Buy calls on
OMA, and Holds on Asur & GAPB.
KEY CHANGES INCLUDE:
Mexican Airports: Soft 2Q26 traffic trends. Traffic flows across Mexican airports were down 3% TICKER RATING PRICE TARGET
YoY on avg in 2Q26. GAPB had the largest 2Q26 negative traffic delta (-c6% YoY), followed by Asur
OMAB BUY $150.00 ($145.00)
(-c3% YoY) which continues to see steady drops at Cancun. OMA partially offset the negative trend
with traffic slightly up (+0.4% YoY) driven by the smaller Mexican airports. PAC HOLD $265.00 ($280.00)
ASR HOLD $325.00 ($380.00)
US/Iran Conflict and Air Travel Demand. We expect YoY traffic growth comps to get tougher for
LatAm airport players in 2H26. On top of a high 2H25 base, higher fares due to the US/Iran conflict
impact on jet fuel prices should weigh on regional air traffic demand. That said, the region is entering
Monthly traffic data per airport is availablethe peak holiday travel season, which should continue to support demand and partially offset these
upon requestheadwinds. We note that our Global Aerospace team’s latest What’s Up in the Skies report already
points to a 2% YoY increase in scheduled flights in Mexico in Jul-26.
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