GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Localiza 2Q26 Earnings Preview: Robust Seminovos Sales Help Counterbalance Increased Depreciation
Research evidence excerpt
Localiza 2Q26 Earnings Preview: Robust Seminovos Sales Help Counterbalance Increased Depreciation
J P M O R G A N Latin America Equity Research
16 July 2026
Correction (See disclosures for details)
Localiza Overweight
RENT3.SA, RENT3 BZ
2Q26 Earnings Preview: Robust Seminovos Sales Help Price (15 Jul 26):R$40.35
Counterbalance Increased Depreciation Price Target (Dec-27):R$69.00
We expect Localiza (OW) to deliver decent 2Q results, supported by resilient Latin American Transportation
ACperformance in the rental segment and strong Seminovos sales (90.6k units), being Guilherme Mendes
partially offset by higher depreciation rates. We model net income of R$961 (55-11) 4950-4105
million (-3% vs. consensus), supported by adequate profitability across the board guilherme.g.mendes@jpmorgan.com
(we assume margins of 67.2% for RAC Brazil, 75.5% for GTF, and 2.6% for Julia Orsi
Seminovos). On the downside, we expect both RAC and GTF depreciation to (55-11) 4950 3351
accelerate by 2.5% q/q, reflecting a potentially more aggressive autos competition julia.orsi@jpmorgan.com
Banco J.P. Morgan S.A.
as Chinese OEMs continue to expand in Brazil. Reflecting slightly higher
depreciation and higher J.P. Morgan estimates for interest rates (average 2027 at
13.1%), we are revising our 2026 and 2027 net income estimates down by 2-5% Quarterly Forecasts (FYE Dec)
to R$4,246–5,077 million. Despite this backdrop, Localiza remains one of our top Adj. EPS (R$)
picks within Brazil Transportation, given its appealing valuation and consistent 2025A 2026E 2027E
earnings momentum, underpinned by positive operational trends. The company is Q1 0.78 1.13A
Q2 0.71 0.89
well-positioned to achieve the upper range of the ROIC spread at 7.0 p.p. in 2027. Q3 0.80 0.93
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