Synchrony Financial: Sizing the PayPal Partnership

Research evidence excerpt

Synchrony Financial: Sizing the PayPal Partnership

Equity Research

U.S. Consumer Finance

15 July 2026

Synchrony Financial

Sizing the PayPal Partnership

Stripe and Advent have offered to acquire PayPal, a top SYF

partner representing more than 10% of interest and fees.

While termination is not our base case, we estimate the loss SYF OVERWEIGHT

U.S. Consumer Finance NEUTRAL

of the partnership would create a 6-7% run rate EPS Price Target USD 93.00

headwind after capital returns and expense reductions. Price (14-Jul-26) USD 73.68

Potential Upside/Downside +26.2%

Source: Bloomberg, Barclays Research

What's Incremental: Stripe (private payments company, not covered) and Advent International

(private, not covered) have jointly offered (see link) to acquire PayPal (PYPL, covered by

Nik Cremo) for $53B+, or $60.50/shr. PYPL is one of SYF's top partners, representing more than U.S. Consumer Finance

10% of interest and fee income (INF). Based on management's previous comments on its Terry Ma, CFA

+1 212 526 7965partnerships, we believe a change of control provision could prompt a review of the existing

terry.ma@barclays.com

PYPL/SYF partnership by new owner(s). BCI, US

Key Takeaway: The potential sale of PayPal introduces headline risk to SYF, in our view, with Cordelia R Deng

investors focused on whether the partnership could be renegotiated or ultimately terminated +1 212 526 7625

if an acquisition were to occur. A potential termination of the partnership is not our base case, cordeliar.deng@barclays.com

BCI, USas the involvement of Stripe should lower this risk given its limited consumer lending scale

(despite partners such as AFRM (covered by Nik Cremo)). Operating the PayPal program requires Jack Margolius