GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
PRGP ended up remaking Estee's makeup
Research evidence excerpt
PRGP ended up remaking Estee's makeup
Consumer | Global Household & Personal Care
July 14, 2026
ESTÉE LAUDER COMPANIES Robert Ottenstein Javier Escalante 212-653-9020 212-446-9477
EL | $81.99 Robert.Ottenstein@evercoreisi.com Javier.Escalante@evercoreisi.com
Outperform | Target Price/Base Case: $125.00 JD Todd
Earnings Preview - Company Update 212-812-2912
JD.Todd@evercoreisi.com
Company Statistics
Market Capitalization (M) $28,087
Enterprise Value (M) $35,239 Estee's Profit Recovery and Growth Plan (PRGP) wrapped up
52-Week Range $48.37 - $121.64 last week, with charges exceeding the high end of the range
Dividend/Share 1.40 (page 3). It began in 2024 as a savings program to rebuild gross Dividend Yield 1.5%
Fiscal Year End Jun margins once the impairment of Asia Travel Retail became
clear. But under CEO La Faverie, PRGP expanded twice into a
structural reset of Estee's U.S. go-to-market: optimizing both
Earnings Summary physical assets (department-store counters and freestanding
2025 2026E 2027E stores) and digital assets, with a partnership with Shopify to
EPS Q1 $0.14 $0.33A $0.52 enhance DTC online. Estee still leads U.S. prestige makeup,
Q2 $0.63 $0.89A $1.19 and this outsized exposure makes difficult yet critical the
Q3 $0.65 $0.91A $1.09 optimization of unproductive doors in department and
Q4 $0.09 $0.31 $0.55
FY $1.51 $2.44 $3.35 freestanding stores after decades of share losses ─ to Sephora,
EPS (Calendar) CY $1.96 $2.93 $3.68 then Ulta and now Amazon ─ to rebuild profitability and make
P/E (Calendar) CY 48.5 32.5 25.9 the P&L more variable and the organization operationally more
agile. Making Estee's SG&A more variable (greater A&P, less
depreciation of retailers' counters) is key to fund growth and for
1 Year Price History risk management.
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