GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
European Aviation Daily: Icarus – 14 July 2026
Research evidence excerpt
European Aviation Daily: Icarus – 14 July 2026
he sector, but the 90% fuel
hedging for FY27 should substantially moderate this risk. Consumer appetite for travel remains
strong, our most recent demand tracker analysis suggests travel spending trends have inflected
for the better and M&A activity in the industry tells us package travel, that looked a potential
anachronism ripe for disintermediation five years ago, is increasingly relevant both for investors
as well as consumers.
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Jet2: Issues for debate post FY26 results(opens in a new tab)
Key issues include the health of summer demand, expansion into Gatwick and capital
allocation.
What's the debate? This report provides a set of issues for investors to discuss with Jet2
management team after FY26 results on 8 July 2026.
Health of summer demand and Gatwick expansion top the agenda, followed by capital
allocation: Summer'26 program growth of 8%, bookings ahead 7.1% with flight only pricing
down MSD while package pricing being stable is the latest trading update. How booking
momentum evolves since the end of May and the outlook for the peak lates market is
important. Jet2's expansion into Gatwick is also key as the company plans more expansion in
the southern UK. Capital allocation is a key topic as capex continues to grow. New £250m SBB is
encouraging.
View and valuation: We rate the stock Overweight with a price target of £20.0. We think
consumers continue to prioritise travel relative to other discretionary expenditure options.
Within travel, packages continue to outperform other travel offerings, attracting consumers on
value, regulatory protection and simplicity of booking. In general, we admire the Jet2 business
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