GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
STN/FTT-related: Meta announces C$13B data center in Alberta
Research evidence excerpt
STN/FTT-related: Meta announces C$13B data center in Alberta
s in CAD unless otherwise noted.
Priced as of prior trading day's market close, EST (unless otherwise noted). and better connectivity with customers – Finning has
invested in its Digital platform to support two primary
Valuation purposes: 1) to drive increased efficiency across its own
Our $130 price target is based on ~26.0x our blended operations (i.e., improve demand forecasting and Working
2026/2027 Adjusted EPS forecast of $5.01. Our valuation Capital management); and, 2) to better support its customers’
multiple is at a premium to Finning’s 3-year average NTM P/ operations (which in turn should better position Finning
E multiple and at a discount to the company’s closest peer, to capitalize on Product support/New equipment sales
Toromont. We believe our valuation multiple fairly reflects the opportunities). Over time, we expect the increased volume of
operating backdrop in Western Canada and South America, data and the improved insights to help Finning make progress
which includes a supportive commodity price environment on both fronts.
(for WTI and copper) and continued momentum for Product
Support revenue. Our price target supports our Outperform Risks to rating and price target
rating. We note the following key risks for Finning: 1) high degree
of exposure to the business cycle (expenditures for capital
goods/industrial equipment and services have historically
been cyclical). 2) Oil and copper price volatility impacts
Finning’s results. 3) High degree of competitive intensity,
particularly during commodity downturns. 4) 90 days’ notice
period for contract termination (the principal agreements
common to arrangements as an authorized Caterpillar dealer
can be terminated on 90 days’ notice).
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