GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Top 30 Global Ideas for 2026
Research evidence excerpt
Top 30 Global Ideas for 2026
Top 30 Global Ideas for 2026 – Third-Quarter Update
Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) Rating: Outperform Closing Price: USD 244.16
RBC Capital Markets, LLC Price Target: USD 320.00 Implied All-in Return (%): 31.1
Brad Erickson (Analyst) (971) 842-9607, brad.erickson@rbccm.com
Investment summary Risks to rating and price target Exhibit 7 - Share performance and RBC valuation
AMZN is one of the internet’s largest true alpha dogs, in Risks to rating and price target include: (1) challenging
our view. The company’s unmatched scale and integration of ongoing capacity expansion; (2) less sticky
advantage in verticalized e-commerce combined with its or reversionary e-commerce trends post-pandemic; (3)
industry-leading cloud business gives it many shots on less successful Prime membership adoption in
goal for future growth opportunities in new verticals. international markets leading to slowing growth and less
Our channel checks indicate that the burgeoning margin expansion than expected; (4) inability to secure
advertising business in particular has a massive rights to meaningful sports & entertainment content,
opportunity to drive accretive growth. Regulatory particularly in Europe; (5) a lack of improvement to the
scrutiny is inevitable but carries relatively low risk to advertising platform’s targeting algorithms and
long-term equity value, in our view. conversion leading to slowing growth; (6) intensifying
competition in cloud; and (7) global macroeconomic
Valuation slowdown. Source: Bloomberg and RBC Capital Markets estimates for Target
The stock trades at a slight discount to the group.
Reasons for the discount are valid in some ways given
Exhibit 8 - Forward consensus EV/EBITDA historythe law of large numbers limiting growth rates and the
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