Initiate at Mkt: The Turnaround Is Real, but the Market Knows It

Research evidence excerpt

Initiate at Mkt: The Turnaround Is Real, but the Market Knows It

Envista Faces Several Significant Macro Headwinds in 2026

Envista is navigating Envista faces several significant macro headwinds that management is actively navigating

meaningful macro and through strategic planning and operational shifts. Key challenges include the evolving tariff

policy headwinds. landscape, uncertainty in the Chinese market due to Volume-Based Procurement (VBP), and broader

economic volatility impacting consumer behavior and capital spending.

1. Tariffs and Global Trade Tensions: The shifting tariff environment represents a substantial financial

headwind for Envista. The company incurred approximately $30 million in tariff-related headwinds in

2025 and expects this to grow to roughly $40 million in 2026 due to the annualization of these costs.

To offset these costs, Envista has launched a "tariff task force" to rebalance its global supply chain. This

includes shifting manufacturing for China-bound implants from the U.S. to Sweden and qualifying new

suppliers for raw materials. The company also utilizes price increases and cost-reduction measures to

cover the gross impact.

2. China Volume-Based Procurement (VBP): The implementation of VBP processes in China creates

period-to-period volatility and revenue uncertainty. Management has noted difficulty in forecasting the

exact timing of VBP for orthodontics and the second round for implants, as schedules frequently shift.

Ahead of VBP implementation, channel partners often reduce inventories to avoid restatement penalties

at lower price points. This led to a significant double-digit decline in implant sales in China during Q1

2026. While VBP mandates lower prices, Envista expects to partially offset this through increased patient