GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
TRP: RBC Imagine™: B-E-A-utiful
Research evidence excerpt
TRP: RBC Imagine™: B-E-A-utiful
TC Energy Corporation
Target/Upside/Downside Scenarios Investment summary
We expect TC Energy to outperform other energyTC Energy Corporation
infrastructure companies in our coverage universe for the
120 125 Weeks 12FEB24 - 03JUL26 following reasons:
TARGETTARGET 104.00104.00
100 CURRENTCURRENT 94.7194.71 • Embedded value in the platform. We believe the market
90 continues to value the cash flow stability and long-
80 term growth potential of TC Energy, particularly in an
60 environment where there is a heightened focus on
50 infrastructure that supports energy resilience and secular
40 load growth. Backed by an improved project execution
150m platform, as exemplified by the recent Southeast Gateway
100m
50m project completion that was on time and under budget, we
2024 2025 2026
F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J see the company being able to deliver its targeted growth
TRP CN Rel. S&P/TSX COMP IDX MA 40 weeks while adhering to its financial guardrails, including meeting
Source: Bloomberg and RBC Capital Markets estimates for Target its 4.75x debt/EBITDA objective.
Valuation • We believe TC Energy has an attractive and unique
Our $104.00 per share price target is based on roughly 15x EV/ portfolio of low-risk, utility-like assets that can be
EBITDA or 25x 2027E P/E forward multiples. On EV/EBITDA, attractive for many investors. Following the spin-off, TC
the valuation reflects a range of 10.5-17x for TC Energy's Energy’s assets consist primarily of low-risk regulated or
assets, with the Mexico natural gas pipeline and non-Bruce long-term contracted natural gas pipelines in Canada,
Power assets within the Power and Energy Solutions segment the U.S. and Mexico (connecting natural gas from supply
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