GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
SEGRO: SEGRO fights back; ambitious defence rests on long-dated execution and optimistic valuation
Research evidence excerpt
SEGRO: SEGRO fights back; ambitious defence rests on long-dated execution and optimistic valuation
Equity Research
European Real Estate
8 July 2026
SEGRO
SEGRO fights back; ambitious
defence rests on long-dated First Look
SGRO.L/SGRO LN UNDERWEIGHTexecution and optimistic valuation
European Real Estate NEUTRAL
SEGRO argues the business is worth 1,312p/sh, supported by Price Target GBp 625
50p FY30E EPS. implying very tight 2.91% FY26E and 3.8% Price (07-Jul-26) GBp 881
FY30E EPS yields. H126 trading showed £53m of rent signed PotentialSource: Bloomberg,Upside/DownsideBarclays Research -29.1%
and increased capex guide, although lower occupancy and
European Real EstateNAV temper the argument that this value is already emerging.
Paul May, CFA
+44 (0)20 3134 1444
SEGRO launched a robust defence against the Prologis bid, arguing the approach is paul.j.may@barclays.com
opportunistic and inadequate. Management's central argument is it materially undervalues the Barclays, UK
embedded earnings and valuation upside within its logistics and data centre development Eleanor Frew, CFA
pipeline. The company is targeting growth in Adjusted EPS from 36.6p in FY25 to c.50p by FY30, +44 (0)20 3555 0748
supported by more than £1bn of incremental rental income potential. This implies 21% upside eleanor.frew@barclays.com
to our FY30 Adjusted EPS and 20% upside to FY28 consensus estimates1 . Barclays, UK
Kanad Mitra
Management highlights £429m of future industrial and logistics rent potential alongside £460m +91 (0)22 6175 1793
of near- to medium-term data centre income opportunities supported by its 3.0GVA European kanad.mitra@barclays.com
power bank. It argues NAV should only be the starting point for valuation. SEGRO estimates its Barclays, UK
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