GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
NI: Focus on the (Datacenter) Fundamentals. Initiating at Outperform, PT $52
Research evidence excerpt
NI: Focus on the (Datacenter) Fundamentals. Initiating at Outperform, PT $52
ranking relative to large cap peers, we see room for Div Yield 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7%
further multiple expansion as the data center opportunity becomes better
understood and management executes on near-term announcements. AllPricedvaluesas ofin priorUSD unlesstradingotherwiseday's marketnoted.close, EST (unless otherwise noted).
Indiana stands out as one of the most attractive data center markets in
the Midwest, and we believe NIPSCO is the primary beneficiary. Regional
opposition is most in nearby WI, IL, and OH, where governors in all three
states have suspended or moved to eliminate data center tax incentives.
No equivalent legislation has passed in Indiana, and Gov. Braun (not up
for re-election this cycle) remains a vocal supporter. Microsoft announced
plans in April 2026 to expand its NIPSCO-served LaPorte facility from 6 to
17 buildings, and Amazon continues to grow its in-state footprint. We are
tracking multiple facilities in NIPSCO's service territory with combined peak
load >1GW, along with multiple sites that have begun mass grading activity
- see body of note for satellite imagery progression. We believe material
announcements are likely coming in the near term.
Affordability has emerged as a key area of focus in Indiana, but we believe
NIPSCO has a credible path to thread the needle. Gov. Braun removed
his IURC Chairman in June 2026 after a utility rate increase he called
unacceptable, and his replacement has signaled closer scrutiny of future
requests. Considering this, NIPSCO will need to navigate this environment
with care given that it carries the highest electric rates among Indiana’s
IOUs. Three factors give us confidence: NIPSCO’s electric rate case was
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