GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Raise PT to ¥5,500 and Rating to Buy
Research evidence excerpt
Raise PT to ¥5,500 and Rating to Buy
Ushio (6925 JP)
Equity Research
June 30, 2026
The Long View: Ushio
Investment Thesis Risk/Reward - 12 Month View
The company has a stable position in the equipment business and light
Upside : Downside
source business. After bottoming out in FY20, it is on a recovery trend, 9000 1.98 : 1
partly due to the effects of structural reforms. However, amid major 8000 8000 (+84%)
changes in the business environment, such as a slowdown in investment
by major customers in lithography equipment for package substrates,
which is Ushio's main business, the company announced new growth 6000 5500 (+26%)
strategy, Revive Vision 2030, in May 2024. Ushio have established a growth 5000
strategy that emphasizes management efficiency, concentrating resources 4000
on growth areas and promoting improvement of capital efficiency. Ushio 3000
2500 (-43%)
are also conducting a large-scale share buyback in FY23-26. 2000
2025 2026 +12 mo.
Base Case, Upside Scenario, Downside Scenario,
¥5500, +26% ¥8000, +84% ¥2500, -43%
• Improving profitability by leveraging • Launch of the digital lithography business that • Intensifying competition in package substrate
unprofitable businesses and narrowing Ushio is promoting with AMAT and contribute lithography equipment and direct imaging
resources to growth areas to business results equipment
• Moderate recovery in demand for packaging • Recovery in demand for packaging substrate • Adjustments due to macro impact in the
substrate lithography equipment and direct- lithography equipment and expansion of Cinema business
to-text imaging equipment customer base through the introduction of
• Stock price in the downside scenario is ¥2,500
next-generation products
• Price target is ¥5,500 (FY3/29E PER 26x) (FY3/29E PER 15x)
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