GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
4Q First Impressions
Research evidence excerpt
4Q First Impressions
Food: Food Producers
General Mills
TD SECURITIES (USA) LLC QUICK TAKE: EARNINGS UPDATE
July 1, 2026
Price: $34.80 (06/30/2026) 4Q First Impressions
Price Target: $31.00
HOLD (2)
Robert Moskow THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
646 562 1474
General Mills' 4Q results were in-line with internal expectations but beat consensus, perhaps
robert.moskow@tdsecurities.com
from the 53rd week. FY27 guide for $3.00-$3.20 EPS is in-line with consensus, and we
Sergio Matsumoto suspect better than buy-side expectations. However, questions will remain about the future
646 562 1339 given guidance for another year of organic growth declines and another $1B restructuring
sergio.matsumoto@tdsecurities.com
announcement to align with weaker volume.
Jacob Henry, CFA
646 562 1380 FY27 Guidance:
jacob.henry@tdsecurities.com
■Organic sales growth: down 1.5% to down 0.5% vs consensus +0.2%
Victor Ma
■Adj EBIT growth: down 13% to down 8% vs consensus -7.1%
646 562 1306
victor.ma2@tdsecurities.com ❍Implied range of $2.45B to $2.59B vs consensus $2.55B
Seamus Cassidy ❍Equates to down 4% to up 1% ex mechanical factors
646 562 1319
seamus.cassidy@tdsecurities.com ■Adj EPS growth: down 15% to down 10% vs consensus -8.2%
❍Range of $3.00 to $3.20 vs our $2.90 and consensus $3.11
Key Data
Symbol NYSE: GIS ❍Equates to down 5% to flat ex mechanical factors
Market Cap $18.6B
■Announced 2030 cumulative cost savings target of $3B with $2B from normal HMM
productivity and $1B from Global Transformation initiatives to "optimize" the supply chain.
■FY27 $750M cost savings (~6% of COGS) inclusive of 4-5% HMM savings and certain supply
chain projects
■Mechanical factors: ~9 point headwind on operating profit and 11 points on EPS in fiscal
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