GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
EQT: Quarterly Check-Up: 2Q26
Research evidence excerpt
EQT: Quarterly Check-Up: 2Q26
EQT Corporation
Target/Upside/Downside Scenarios Investment summary
We believe that EQT shares should perform in line withEQT Corporation
peers over the next 12 months. EQT is well positioned
80 125 Weeks 06FEB24 - 29JUN26 with a large upstream and midstream asset base focused
in the Appalachian Basin. We think the company has some 70 TARGETTARGET 69.0069.00
60 of the most economic natural gas assets in North America
and benefits from the integrated assets, low royalty rates, 50 CURRENTCURRENT 52.0052.00
low operating costs, and premium geology. A maintenance
40 development program should generate significant FCF toward
30 $2.50/Mcf.
150m Potential catalysts/opportunities
100m
50m Leverage reduction. Management is committed to addressing
2024 2025 2026
F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J improving leverage through the use of asset sales. Additional
EQT US Rel. S&P 500 COMPOSITE MA 40 weeks midstream asset sales are being considered with management
Source: Bloomberg and RBC Capital Markets estimates for Target indicating a clear line of sight to its reduced debt target range
Valuation of $5-7 billion.
Our $69/share price target is a premium to our estimated
Lower break-evens. With the addition of the midstreamforward NAV of $64/share; we expect the gas peer group
assets, we anticipate EQT benefiting from lower midstreamto trade above NAV given our commodity price expectations
operating expenses which should enhance the total break-compared to strip prices.
even price.
• Our target implies a 7.0x multiple on 2026E EBITDA, above Risks to rating and price target the gas peer average.
• The most significant risk is unexpected changes in• We think EQT should trade at a valuation slightly above
commodity prices.
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