GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
SBSW: South African ops CMD & site visits
Research evidence excerpt
SBSW: South African ops CMD & site visits
74 4.69
Bite size, low-risk projects at home Prev. 3.01 3.76 4.67 Free Cash Flow (415.3) 1,956.0 2,006.5 2,485.7
Management believe it has the best portfolio in the world and doesn't need Prev. 1,996.5 2,135.1 2,605.6
to look elsewhere (a comfort for those concerned about further M&A risk). FCF Yield NM 31.2% 32.0% 39.6%
Given the challenging demand outlook, there is a reluctance to over invest
and management can choose between the seven PGM mining projects Production: 4E koz
(Stillwater West not being considered) or various optimisations on the gold AllPricedmarketas ofdatapriorintradingUSD; allday'sfinancialmarketdataclose,in ZAR;ESTdividends(unless otherwisepaid in USD.noted).
side (PGM is favoured over gold). The E4 mine (feasibility due Q4'26) will
be an important test case of the levels of board optimism. Burnstone is the
odd one out as a greenfield but highly likely to be get go a head in H2 given
the attractive economics.
Six years of study to push assets together
Company finally in position to extract the synergies of consolidating Anglo
Platinum's Rustenburg, Lonmin and Aquarius Platinum assets into 70km
of continuous PGM operations. Easy wins from boundaries that can be
mined out and infrastructure shared. Investment in processing has been
consistent and able to accommodate 50% of Platreef phase 2 (lifts BMR
utilisation from c.30% to c.90%).
Chrome important kicker for both SLP and SBSW
Chrome already provides a very helpful kicker to revenues (5% of PGM in
2025) and should starting getting full value for its chrome by 2033, and
possibly earlier with expansions. The Chrome Management Agreement
(CMA) with Glencore accelerates discount timeline by 20 years, improves
yields and reduce operating costs.
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