SNDA: Bumping up our price target as SNDA executes on its compounding phase of growth

Research evidence excerpt

SNDA: Bumping up our price target as SNDA executes on its compounding phase of growth

ed how long SNDA EBITDA, Adj 2025 13.6A 14.1A 13.2A 12.9A

can continue pushing 5–7% annual rate increases. Management 2026 21.5A 47.9E 48.0E 52.8E

responded that rate growth is directly tied to local market dynamics —

demographics, household wealth, and the economics of each submarket AllPricedvaluesas ofin priorUSD unlesstradingotherwiseday's marketnoted.close, EST (unless otherwise noted).

— and that SNDA deliberately targets upper-middle to high net worth

residents in attractive suburban markets where rate trajectory is more

durable. They also noted that investing in the physical plant, food

quality, and resident experience makes rate increases more palatable

and defensible. With average in-place lengths of stay of ~2.5 years, the

portfolio is still cycling through only a couple of renewal events per

resident, and management expects in-place rent increases to remain

healthy for the foreseeable future. Ten communities are already at 100%

occupancy, underscoring the demand backdrop supporting continued

pricing power.

• Labor market outlook: Investors probed the sustainability of SNDA's

labor cost improvements and the risk of wage re-acceleration.

Management pointed to the SPIN platform as the structural

answer, noting that its labor optimization tools — including shift-

level productivity tracking and individual CNA/nurse performance

measurement — allow SNDA to flex hours to occupancy and pay

top performers at premium rates. These capabilities have resulted in

caregiver turnover well below the triple-digit industry average and

executive director turnover of 15–20% versus a 40–50% industry norm.

Management also noted that the labor market is stabilizing and that the