GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
HOOD - Hat Trick, Unassisted by Crypto
Research evidence excerpt
HOOD - Hat Trick, Unassisted by Crypto
Truist Securities
Equity Research Report June 29, 2026
FINANCIALS: Capital Markets Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)
HOOD - Hat Trick, Unassisted by Crypto David Smith
212-319-3623
David.Smith@truist.com
On Friday, HOOD provided updated MTD volumes through June 25th, with 3 trading
categories all continuing pace for record trading in June: equities, options, and prediction
Matthew Coad, CFA markets. That said, since the prior update on volumes through 6/18, equities and options 404-836-6014
Matthew.Coad@truist.com have decelerated modestly while prediction volume has accelerated. Crypto volumes remain
subdued, but MoM trends indicate volumes are inflecting. Extrapolating the last few days
in the month suggests double-digit upside to Street transaction revenues in 2Q, perhaps Nick Moutafakis, CFA HSD/low DD upside to overall revenues. This ongoing trading strength has boosted HOOD's 212-590-0902
Nick.Moutafakis@truist.com stock over the past month even with crypto prices depressed.
HOOD continued its pace for its best trading month ever in June for equities, options, and
Stock Rating BUY prediction markets. Grossing up equities and options for 21 trading days would run-rate ~ $400bn in equities and ~320mn option contracts for June, implying +28% and +16% ahead Unchanged
of consensus for 2Q. Prediction remains excellent with volumes on pace for >6bn contracts
Price Target $100.00 in June, with recent acceleration over the past week. 2Q volumes are tracking to over 13bn
Unchanged contracts, nearly 40% ahead of the street estimate at 9.7bn contracts. Crypto trading still
soft, though $16-17bn in volumes is a solid improvement from the $12bn run rate in April/
May.
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